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Editor's Note: This document is composed
of excerpts from Cyber Conn Executive Decision System, The Concept,
by Bill Blackburn and Guy Groves. Over the past 16 years, the term
"Cyber Conn" has morphed into "CyberCon", which
is a registered trademark of iterations, L.L.C.. The former
terms has been replaced with the later in the text below.
Introduction:
Part of the challenge of developing human capital
is the need to develop information systems that can help us extend
the power of our minds: not only the ability to reason analytically,
but the ability to use intuitive processes as well. Ultimately,
we need an intelligent partnership between human beings and the
information systems that support their work, play, and personal
growth.
The CyberCon Executive System is a synthesis of
seven component areas, that when pulled together, form the synergy
of the Taylor Process. The components are: 1. Body of Knowledge,
2. Process Facilitation, 3. Educational Programs, 4. Technical Systems,
5. Environments, 6. Project Management, 7. Venture Management. The
functioning of the CyberCon Executive System depends on all the
components working together. None can exist alone and have a full
expression of the system. This is not to say that each component
must function at the same level of sophistication. The components
will, in fact, co-exist while each is at a different level of completion
and sophistication. The system itself is subject to the same "rules"
of creativity and evolution, as are the projects and processes it
manages.
The purpose of the CyberCon Executive System is
to facilitate the creative process with special emphasis on supporting
thought about the future and planning courses of action that respond
to and shape that future.
The Executive Decision System (EDS) is an idea
manager as well as a planning and project manager. The hub of the
system is a Knowledgebase designed to provide information to the
user, information that is relevant to the task at hand, but that
also provides gateways to further exploration of the implications
of that task. The knowledgebase is designed to support the user's
creative process in dealing with any topic. Further, it is designed
to act as a "knowledge capture" mechanism through its
interaction with the person using it.
Linked to the Knowledgebase are a series of modules.
Their main function is to allow the user to explore the relationships
between ideas about how the future might unfold and the creation
of practical plans to guide action into that future. These modules
bring together three of the principle Taylor knowledge technologies:
the Scenario; the Strategic Plan and its graphic manifestation,
the AND MAP; and the Time and Task Management System. The EDS also
provides a pathway to the corporate knowledgebase and to other application
packages that support the creative process, such as word-processing,
spreadsheet, graphics and computer aided design.
The CyberCon Executive Decision System is composed
of seven major modules. At the hub of the system is the Knowledgebase,
the main database of information resources. The Knowledgebase Interface
is the shell that protects the database and provides the tools to
access the data directly or through applications. Outside of this
module are the six "principle application" modules of
the system. These are Data Management, General Applications, CyberCon
Tools, Scenario, Strategic Plan, and Time and Task Management modules.
Together they form an integrated environment for the creative exploration
of ideas about the future. They also provide the means of programing
and managing courses of action to provide the transition, for the
corporation or organizations between the present and the future.
Finally, the system also provides an intelligent link with the corporate
past, which it builds upon by documenting corporate actions as they
unfold. The system is, therefore, a historian of actions, providing
the chronicle as events occur.
Description of the Modules
Knowledgebase Module - The Knowledgebase
and its interface contain the information upon which the six "applications"
draw. The Knowledgebase also provides the means of entering and
retrieving general information to and from the system. Finally,
it provides a means of exploring and creating new ideas, using the
creative process and the black box models. The Knowledgebase interface
will link the specific work modules, called the principle applications,
with the Knowledgebase and application programs that reside "outside"
the EDS. It will provide the means of manipulating data so that
it is compatible with the needs of the work modules and the outside
application programs.
Ultimately, the Knowledgebase interface will manage
the expert system aspects of the EDS. For example, in a full expert
system implementation, when a particular user signs on to work with
a module, the system will call up specific parts of the tool kit
that the user profile indicates the user prefers to use. The system
might also make suggestions on investigative strategies the user
might like to pursue, basing the suggestions on the user's levels
of expertise.
Data Management Module
General Applications Module
Cyber-Conn Tools Module - This module contains
routines that are used in common by the other work modules. For
example, statistical analysis of data will be needed in each of
the main work modules. When needed it will be called from the tool
kit, so that it will not be necessary to have a complete set of
code to do statistical work resident within all three of the planning
modules.
Scenario Module (planning
module) - This module will facilitate the formulation of ideas about
the future. A structured investigation into the past could also
be accomplished using this module. Key features will include: 1.
the support of several formal methodologies such as morphological
and cross-impact analysis, with which the structure of postulated
events may be developed and/or analyzed, 2. the ability to access
information in the knowledgebase that pertains to an event through
a keyword query, 3. the ability to compare different scenarios and
to analyze the implications of variations between the types of events
projected, and variations in the timing of those events.
The Scenario Module is designed to facilitate the
various creative process used by a planner in anticipating how events
might unfold through time. Constructing a scenario or group of scenarios
about events that will affect our actions constitutes an appropriate
starting point in devising a plan of action for the future. The
plan will allow us to take advantage of future opportunities and
to avoid pitfalls. The Scenario Module is intended to support and
enhance the intuitive processes inherent in the act of building
a scenario and to provide structured and rigorous approaches to
forecasting future events. The module provides structured analytic
methods for examining similarities and differences between scenarios,
and for using this information to revise the event forecasts within
a given scenario. Finally this module allows the events forecast
in the scenario to be linked directly to elements in the strategic
plan and to show the effects that a change in the scenario event
has on the strategic plan action, or vice versa. This is accomplished
by identifying key events within the scenario, which will eventually
be linked to the goals and objectives in the strategic plan.
Strategic Plan (planning
module) - This module will facilitate the formulation, testing,
and maintenance of broad plans of action. The AND MAP technology
will be supported in PERT/CPM or decision network form. Formulation
of goals and objectives as well as specific activities within the
plan will be linked to scenario events that affect them. Likewise,
events within a plan are linked to specific action within the time
and task management system associated with the plan. Through this
linkage, the effects of a change in any one of the modules on the
other modules will be recorded. Documents that support or explain
the plan, or specific actions within the plan, can be retrieved
from the knowledgebase. The module will support "what if"
computations on a plan or group of alternative plans. The development
and alteration of AND maps will be graphically and analytically
supported.
The purpose of the Strategic Plan Module is to
aid the manager in developing a plan or plans of action based on
events formulated in the Scenario Module. The plan that is developed
will serve as the main guidance and control tool for the individuals
working under the plan. It is the fulcrum that balances the future
that the organization sees for itself as expressed in the Corporate
Scenario with the need to organize day to day, indeed in some cases
hour to hour, activities to achieve the organizational future. This
module provides the blueprint for action that the organization will
take to achieve its goals and provides the structure upon which
the day to day flow of activities (the Time and Task Module) will
be built.
Time and Task Management
(planning module) - This module will translate the intent of the
strategic plan into a day to day scheduling of actions implementing
the plan. Specific work packages will be broken out showing team
membership, the responsible manager, time lines, etc. the rate of
completion of various work packages and specific actions will be
fed back to the strategic plan to monitor plan progress. Possession
of a variety of reporting capabilities will be a key feature of
both the Strategic Plan and the Time and Task Management modules.
The Time and Task Management Module uses the activities
defined in the Strategic Plan as a framework for creating a day
to day accounting of responsibilities to ensure the plan's activities
are successfully carried out on schedule. This module provides a
more detailed breakout of activities needed to implement the plan.
It also organizes these activities from the perspective of the people
who will have to carry out the work. This detailed scheduling of
resources provides day to day operational control over the implementation
of the plan, as well as a mechanism for scheduling activities and
monitoring progress. The module can show managers where adjustments
are needed in either the plan or the schedule of activities . Corrective
action can be taken if plan activities have fallen behind; the extra
time exploited if activities are ahead of schedule. The module also
acts as the coordinating mechanism for scheduling meetings, space,
personnel, and cash resources.
The Strategic Plan shows the activities in the
plan from an overall work flow point of view. The time and Task
Management system shows activities from a day to day point of view.
The personal time manager sub-module details hour to hour operations.
Another difference is that the Strategic Plan focuses on major activities
that need to be completed. The Time and Task module's perspective
is that of resources: that is, staff and tools required to carry
out an activity, and the time span needed for completion. The system
will be able to display a variety of tables showing an individual's
or a team's relationship to activities in the plan, work packages,
or daily actions.
In addition to its scheduling role, the Time and
Task Management system acts as a record keeper. The module will
keep track of how long a given action actually took, as compared
to how long it was expected to take. It will also track the actual
expenditure of cash and other resources, in addition to the estimated
expenditure. Comparison of these numbers provides the raw data needed
to refine the models of activities in the Strategic Plan Activity
Library.
The system will alert the responsible parties if
a particular action critical to the completion of the activity is
not performed on time. This allows corrective action to be taken.
Conversely, if an action is completed ahead of schedule, responsible
parties are alerted so the opportunity created by this good fortune
can be exploited. (Here an activity is defined as a task, event,
or cusp in the strategic plan, and an action as an action or group
of actions taken by personnel in order to accomplish a work package.)
The Planning Modules, i.e., Scenario, Strategic
Plan, and the Time and Task Management modules, are designed
to support a complete planning process. This process can be described
in simplified fashion in the following model:
1. define problems and opportunities
2. describe the problems and opportunities in systems
terms
3. define goals and objectives to deal with the
problems and opportunities
4. define performance specifications to implement
the goals and objectives
5. define resources and constraints to accomplish
the goals and objectives
6. define the plan of action
7. create work packages to implement the plan
8. create a task management system to control and
track work
9. feed back changes in organizational goals and
objectives and in resource or constraints to the plan and the task
management system
10. feed back changes in the plan's schedule to
organizational goals and objectives
Each of the above steps in the planning process
is related to one of the EDS planning modules. The following table
shows this relationship.
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Module
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Stage of the Planning
Process
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Scenario
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1 and 2
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Strategic Plan
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3, 4,5, 6, 7, and 10
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Time and Task Management
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8, 9, and 10
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Naturally, the planning process is
not as linear as it is depicted in this simple model. In reality,
the planning process and particularly step 6, the plan formation
stage, is a design process with all the recursiveness, trial, and
goal seeking intellectual activity this entails. Nonetheless, this
simplified model helps to focus attention on key aspects of the
process that the planning modules must address.
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