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Workshop I: New Approaches to Climate Change
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting - Davos,
Switzerland, 25-30 January, 2001
A collection of Knowledge Agents being gathered
to support the Process during the Four Work Shops that will be
facilitated by Matt and Gail Taylor.
Please e-mail Jeff Johnston with edits, additions, comments,
etc. (jjohnston@iterations.com)
Click here
to go to Matt's public website describing the process that will be used
to facilitate these workshops.
Workshop I: New Approaches to Climate Change,
Friday, 26 January, 9.00-10.30
The stalemate at the Hague Conference in November highlighted
the shortcomings with the current international framework for addressing
climate change. What lessons were learned from the failure of The Hague
Summit? What are some viable strategies to implement the Kyoto Protocol
without affecting its environmental integrity? This workshop will explore
ways to deal with complex issues that have arisen from the climate change
debate.
Purpose/Objectives:
- arrive at a PUSH GOAL= formulate a requirement: 15-20 years from now,
we will have a global climate change policy which is seen as efficient,
fair and sufficient and which reflect a degree of flexibility and respect
for the diversity of circumstances across the world.
- This session starts the process of direct dialogue between business,
government and other stakeholders Ð most notably with the heads of leading
environmental NGOs.
- Participants will be challenged to look at this requirement and make
a commitment to find flexible and decentralized approaches to the climate
change problem.
- Explore innovative strategies to deal with climate change.
Working tables will be focusing on:
- The challenging nature of the Global Warming Issue
- Kyoto Protocol Ð important first step but not the end of the story
- Involvement of all players (both developed and developing nations)
- Establishing incentive mechanisms and fairness(to make sure that those
who have made efforts will be rewarded while penalizing those who have
done nothing, which prevents moral hazards and free riders).
- Exploring a market-based solution to climate change.
- The role of technology/innovation and long-term R & D
Questions to be raised:
- How can business proactively address this issue now rather than react
to public pressure, legislation, litigation or worse in the future?
- What can NGOs do?
- What can they do together?
- What is expected of governments?
New Paradigm:
In the year 2025, we will have a global climate change policy which is
seen as efficient, fair and sufficient and which reflect a degree of flexibility
and respect for the diversity of circumstances across the world.
This session starts the process of direct dialogue between business,
government and other stakeholders Ð most notably with the heads of leading
environmental NGOs. Participants will be challenged to look at this requirement
and make a commitment to explore innovative strategies to deal with climate
change.
In the year 2025, the Earth is seen as a garden and that all of humanity
has a stake in nurturing this garden and making it a better place to live.
Issues and Questions:
(1) what was the challenging nature of the Global Warming Issue?
(2) what were the main obstacles of the Kyoto Protocol?
(3) how did we finally assure the involvement of all players (both developed
and developing nations)?
(4) what were some of the incentive mechanisms established to ensure
fairness (to make sure that those who have made efforts will be rewarded
while penalizing those who have done nothing, which prevents moral hazards
and free riders)?
(5) how did we finally kick the CO2 habit?
(6) what role did technology/innovation and long-term R & D play?
(7) how did business proactively address the issue while waiting for
legistation?
(8) what was the tipping point that finally convinced business, governments
and civil society to cooperate in order to achieve all this?
Key Tipping Point that enabled the paradigm shift: What was the
milestone that once reached, enabled everything else to fall into place?
Thoughts on themes and images for slide show:
Show examples of how human kind has had measurable impacts on the natural
environment.
- Changes in coloration of moths living in England in the later half
of the 19th century. Moths changed from speckled to black due to the
industrial soot that covered everything. (http://www.tulane.edu/~guill/demonstration_module.html,
http://www.homeworkhelp.com/homeworkhelp/freemember/text/bio/high/private/ch08/0400/main.htm,
- Images of forests followed by images of clear-cuts
- Dams,
Experts:
- Jens Stoltenberg, Prime Minsister of Norway
- Mario Molina, Nobelpreisträger, Professor MIT, USA
- "Business Voice", TBA
- Jeffrey
A. Frankel, Professor, John
F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, USA
- Björn Stigson, President, World
Business Council for Sustainable Development, Geneva
- Maurice F. Strong, President, University
for Peace and Senior Advisor to the Secretary-General of the United
Nations
- Thilo Bode, International Executive Director, Greenpeace International,
Netherlands
- Mohamed T. El-Ashry, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer,
Global Environment Facility, USA
- Daniel C. Esty, Director, Yale Center for Environmental Law
and Policy, USA
- Claude Martin, Director-General, WWF International, Gland
- Jan Pronk, Minister of Housing and Environment of the Netherlands
- Klaus Töpfer, Executive Director, United Nations Environmental
Programme, Nairobi
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Knowledge Agent
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| The WEF description of the workshop (Click here
for the Word document) |
| Session Structure, 01.01.17. (Click here
for the Word document) |
| Prime
Minister Jens Stoltenberg New YearÕs speech 1 January 2001
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| Mario J. Molina
Homepage - |
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CHEMIST
DONATES NOBEL WINNINGS PART OF PRIZE TO FUND ECOLOGY WORK AT MIT,
by Peter J. Howe, Globe Staff Date: Thursday, February 15, 1996
"It's clear to me that one of the important needs for global environmental
issues is the participation of scientists from all over the world,"
Molina said yesterday. "We have some very big challenges ahead if
we are to preserve the environment, and it's obvious that there
are too few scientists from developing countries involved in the
effort," he said.
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| Mario
Molina - Rescuing the Ozone Layer, A Scientific American Profile |
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Beyond Kyoto, by Daniel C. Esty
"With the recent climate negotiations in the Hague having
broken down amidst bitter recrimination from a number of directions,
it is perhaps time to step back from the heat of the battle and
take stock. No environmental issue looms larger than the potential
for global warming, heightened intensity of storms, changed rainfall
patterns, increased flooding, shifts in hydrological conditions,
and sea level rise brought about by a buildup of greenhouse gases
in the atmosphere. Climate change casts a long shadow not only because
of its broad possible ecological effects but also because of its
extraordinary complexity as a policy matter and the likely significant
economic impacts of taking action (or of inaction)."
This paper tries to develop a clear picture of the challenge and
to offer some principles for moving forward.
(Click here for the
Word document)
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Critical Politics of Carbon Sinks, Opinion, Nature,
30 November 2000
Last week's suspension of climate-change negotiations in The Hague
highlights a political need to grapple with the uncertain science
of carbon sequestration before talks resume next year.
(Click here for
the pdf)
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Coping with Human CO2 Emissions, by Laura Serna and Carmen
Fenoll, Nature, 7 December 2000
For two centuries, a natural experiment has ben showing how increasing
atmospheric CO2 affects plants. Laboratory work provides pointers
as to how they will respond in the future.
(Click here for the
pdf document)
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What Drives Climate?, by Lee R. Kump, Nature, 7 December
2000
Variation in the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is usually taken
to be the main cause of climate change on geological timescales.
The apparent exceptions ot the link threaten to undermine that view.
(Click here for the
pdf document)
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The Great Ice Mystery, by Jon Copley, Nature, 7 December
2000
Changes in the extent and thickness of sea ice could alter ocean
circulation and so disrupt the climate. This article considers one
of the big unknowns in the global warming debate.
(Click here for the
pdf document)
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The
New Uncertainty Principle, by David Appell, Scientific
American, January 2001
For complex environmental issues, science learns to take a backseat
to political precaution
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The Carbon Trader
- The Carbon Trader is the worlds leading reporter, library
and commercial services intermediary within the emerging Carbon
Credit Market.Ê
This is a great source of information.
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Carbon
trading set to boom despite COP6 failure, The Carbon
Trader
The growth of emissions trading will not be derailed by the breakdown
of the Hague talks on climate change last week, an advisor to the
European Union on the subject told Reuters on Thursday. Carbon Dioxide
(CO2) emissions trading will become the main route for reducing
greenhouse gases because it remains the cheapest and most efficient
method, said Neil Cohn, principal at energy brokerage company Natsource.
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US power
plants run out of pollution credits, The Carbon Trader
California's power plants, running hard to fend off a chronic electricity
shortage, are themselves running out of pollution credits, forcing
some to shut down, a leading state official said yesterday.
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Canadian
climate shows continuing warming trend, The Carbon Trader
Amid concerns that global warming is making itself felt in the
Arctic, Canadian climatologists said on Wednesday that temperatures
across the country were above normal in 2000 for the eighth consecutive
year.Ê
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California
power talks run on, utilities flag, The Carbon Trader
Government officials and utility company executives held marathon
talks with no end in sight on California's power crisis on Wednesday,
as one of the state's largest utilities begged for state help to
avert a shocking economic failure in the Golden State.
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ANALYSIS:
The Road from here, The Carbon Trader
Jan PronkÕs Herculean effort to provide a basis from which climate
change negotiators could try to restart the stalled talks on implementing
the Kyoto Protocol appears to have fallen well short of the mark.
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Japan's
CO2 Emissions Up 3.3% in FY 1999, The Carbon Trader
TOKYO, Nov. 30 (Kyodo) -- Japan's carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions
increased 3.3% to 1.15 billion tons in fiscal 1999 from the previous
year as energy consumption increased on the back of a recovering
economy, the Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI)
said Thursday.
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Clinton's
warns Americans of climate change, The Carbon Trader
President Clinton has told Americans that climate change is a reality,
and that the United States faces serious damage as a consequence.
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globalchange.gov
- Gateway to global change data in the US
A portal for all sorts of news and info on global change issues
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Operational Significant
Event Imagery
The Operational Significant Event Imagery team produces high-resolution,
detailed imagery of significant environmental events which are visible
in remotely-sensed data.
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| USGS
Satellite Images of Environmental Change |
| NOAA's Arctic
Theme PageÊ
"The Arctic remains one of the least explored, studied and understood
places on earth. Change in the Arctic may play a substantial role
in climate change throughout the globe. ... Global change, particularly
climate change may have its most pronounced effects in the Arctic."
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NASA's Global Change Master
Directory - A comprehensive directory about Earth science
and global change data.
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Worldwatch Institute, Micropower: The Next Electrical Era
(Click here for the pdf
document)
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Viridian
"A group made of some 1,300 Internet activists committed to
fighting the greenhouse effect."
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| Combating
Deforestation - United Nations Sustainable Development, Adgenda
21, Chapter 11 |
| World Resources Institute
- A great resource for all sorts of environmental information |
| Dawn
of the Hydrogen Age, by Jacques Leslie, WIRED, October
1997 |
| The European Partners
for the Environment - EPE is a multi-stakeholder forum which
builds the ground for consensus on sustainability, on which members
can more confidently plan actions. EPE serves as a catalyst, in Europe
and around the world, to achieve into the future a better balance
between the environmental, social and economic elements of life. Dialogue
built through long-term relationships between partners and strengthened
by trust leads to common practical action. |
| Beyond
Grey Pinstripes - Preparing MBAs for Social and Environmental
Stewardship |
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'Earth System' Analysis and the Second Copernican Revolution,
by H. J. Schellnhuber, Nature, December 2, 1999.
"Optical magnification instruments once brought about the Copernican
revolution that put the Earth in its correct astrophysical context.
Sophisticated information-compression techniques including simulation
modelling are now ushering in a second 'Copernican' revolution.
The latter strives to understand the 'Earth system' as a whole and
to develop, on this cognitive basis, concepts for global environmental
management."
(Click here for the
pdf )
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Eco-Efficiency, Creating More Value With Less Impact, World
Business Council For Sustainable Development
(Click here for the
pdf document)
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Dumping
Iron, by Charles Graeber, WIRED, November 2000
Ecohacker Michael Markels claims he has a megafix for global warming:
Supercharge the growth of ocean plankton with vitamin Fe and let
a zillion CO2 scrubbers bloom.
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Confessions
of a CO2 Composter, by Robert A. Metzger, WIRED,
November 2000
How I learned to love crop residue.
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| Climate
key, A single enzyme in peat bogs is the only thing preventing
a catastrophic release of the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide, New
Scientist, 10 January 2001 |
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Treaty
Takes a POP at the Dirty Dozen, by Jocelyn Kaiser and Martin
Enserink, Science, 15 December 2001
Last month's talks to mitigate global warming may have flopped,
but this week brought some consolation to those concerned about
the planet's environmental health: the first-ever global agreement
to abolish a class of dangerous industrial chemicals. The treaty,
finalized by representatives of 122 countries meeting in Johannesburg,
South Africa, also spells out a process to determine the next chemicals
to be proscribed.
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| The
Causes of 20th Century Warming, by Francis W. Zwiers and Andrew
J. Weaver, Science, 15 December 2001 |
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U.S.
Policies Pertaining to Weather and Climate Extremes, by
Stanley A. Changnon and David R. Easterling, Science, 22
September 2000
Atmospheric extremes--which include floods, droughts, severe heat
and cold, and storms--have resulted in steady increases in economic
costs and lives lost in the United States since the Dust Bowl days
of the 1930s. Shifts in the frequency and intensity of severe weather
(events lasting hours or days) and climate extremes (events persisting
for months or years) could exacerbate this growing problem. Most
assessments of recent increases in losses, such as from El Ni–o
1997 (1), point to society and human behavior as the primary cause.
Growth of population and wealth, as well as demographic shifts to
coastal areas and to expanding metropolitan areas, have collectively
increased the vulnerability of the United States to losses from
weather extremes
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Global
Warming, Insects Take the Stage at Snowbird, by Jocelyn
Kaiser, Science, 22 September 2000
The Dust Bowl that struck the southern plains of the United States
in the 1930s devastated millions of hectares of rich farmland, leading
750,000 people to flee, burying houses with dirt, and darkening
the skies for days. But that 7-year drought was a mere taste of
what global warming may bring, warned ecologist Jim Clark of Duke
University. Sediments from a North Dakota lake reveal that 8000
years ago, the plains were seesawing through droughts and wet periods
that lasted a whopping 40 to 50 years. Similarly long drought cycles
could happen again, asserts Clark, as accumulating greenhouse gases
turn continental interiors warmer and drier.
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Climate
Extremes: Observations, Modeling, and Impacts, by David
R. Easterling, Gerald A. Meehl, Camille Parmesan, Stanley A. Changnon,
Thomas R. Karl, Linda O. Mearns, Science, 22 September 2000
One of the major concerns with a potential change in climate is
that an increase in extreme events will occur. Results of observational
studies suggest that in many areas that have been analyzed, changes
in total precipitation are amplified at the tails, and changes in
some temperature extremes have been observed. Model output has been
analyzed that shows changes in extreme events for future climates,
such as increases in extreme high temperatures, decreases in extreme
low temperatures, and increases in intense precipitation events.
In addition, the societal infrastructure is becoming more sensitive
to weather and climate extremes, which would be exacerbated by climate
change. In wild plants and animals, climate-induced extinctions,
distributional and phenological changes, and species' range shifts
are being documented at an increasing rate. Several apparently gradual
biological changes are linked to responses to extreme weather and
climate events.
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The
Global Carbon Cycle: A Test of Our Knowledge of Earth as a System,
by Falkowski et al., Science, 13 October 2000
Motivated by the rapid increase in atmospheric CO2 due to human
activities since the Industrial Revolution, several international
scientific research programs have analyzed the role of individual
components of the Earth system in the global carbon cycle. Our knowledge
of the carbon cycle within the oceans, terrestrial ecosystems, and
the atmosphere is sufficiently extensive to permit us to conclude
that although natural processes can potentially slow the rate of
increase in atmospheric CO2, there is no natural "savior" waiting
to assimilate all the anthropogenically produced CO2 in the coming
century. Our knowledge is insufficient to describe the interactions
between the components of the Earth system and the relationship
between the carbon cycle and other biogeochemical and climatological
processes. Overcoming this limitation requires a systems approach.
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Deserts
Threatened by Climate Change, by Deborah Hill, Science
Now, November 2000
Desert plants go wild during wet years when treated to excess
carbon dioxide, researchers say. The finding backs up climate change
models, which predict that rising levels of atmospheric CO2 will
disrupt the ecology of sensitive desert ecosystems. Experts fear
that the change will favor invasive plants given to triggering wildfires.
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Mountain
concern, by Emma Young, New Scientist, 4 January
2001
Melting permafrost threatens Alpine communities with deadly landslides
The permafrost that holds together the slopes of some of Europe's
highest mountain ranges is melting, threatening resorts and villages
with deadly landslides.
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Earth's
Fidgeting Climate, NASA Science News, 20 October
2000
Is human activity warming the Earth or do recent signs of climate
change signal natural variations? In this feature article, scientists
discuss the vexing ambiguities of our planet's complex and unwieldy
climate.
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The
Incredible Shrinking Ozone Hole, NASA Science News,
12 December 2000
After reaching record-breaking proportions earlier this year the
ozone hole over Antarctica has made a surprisingly hasty retreat.
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What Every Executive Needs to Know About Global Warming,
by Kimberly O'Neill Packhard and Forest Reinhardt, Harvard Business
Review, July-August 2000
(Click here for
the pdf document)
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The
Great Climate Flip-Flop, by William H. Calvin, The Atlantic
Monthly, January 1998
"Climate change" is popularly understood to mean greenhouse warming,
which, it is predicted, will cause flooding, severe windstorms,
and killer heat waves. But warming could lead, paradoxically, to
drastic cooling -- a catastrophe that could threaten the survival
of civilization
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| Unraveling
the Signals of Global Climate Change, by Gary S. Dwyer, Science,
14 January 2000 |
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Temperatures
High and Low, by David E. Parker, Science, 18 February
2000
Satellite measurements of atmospheric temperatures have been available
since 1979 through retrievals from Microwave Sounding Units (MSUs).
These measurements show virtually no warming trend in the lower
troposphere, the layer from about 1 to 5 km above Earth's surface.
In contrast, measurements taken in situ at Earth's surface indicate
a globally averaged warming of between 0.3¼ and 0.4¼C over the same
period. Papers in this issue by Santer et al. (1, p. 1227) and Gaffen
et al. (2, p. 1242) use a combination of observations and model
simulations to throw further light on these trends and bring a partial
reconciliation.
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Weather
Ruins Winter Vacations, by Bernt-Erik S¾ther, Science,
16 June 2000
Our world is warming up. Climate models predict that this increase
in mean annual temperature will continue for the rest of the 21st
century. Whatever the reasons for the temperature increase, there
is accumulating evidence that climate change may have a stronger
impact on ecological processes than previously realized.
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Impacts
of a Global Climate Cycle on Population Dynamics of a Migratory
Songbird, by T. Scott Sillett, Richard T. Holmes, Thomas
W. Sherry, Science, 16 June 2000
These findings demonstrate that migratory birds can be affected
by shifts in global climate patterns and emphasize the need to know
how events throughout the annual cycle interact to determine population
size.
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Dueling
Models: Future U.S. Climate Uncertain, by Richard A. Kerr,
Science, 23 June 2000
When Congress started funding a global climate change research
program in 1990, it wanted to know what all this talk about greenhouse
warming would mean for United States voters. Ten years later, a
U.S. national assessment, drawing on the best available climate
model predictions, concludes that the United States will indeed
warm, affecting everything from the western snowpacks that supply
California with water to New England's fall foliage.
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Climate
: Snow business, by Philip Ball, Nature Science Update,
31 July 2000
If you thought that global warming would put paid to your dreams
of a white Christmas, think again. According to Ross Brown of the
Meteorological Service of Canada, the amount of ground covered by
winter snow in North America increased over the course of the twentieth
century.
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Is
Global Warming Harmful to Health? by Paul R. Epstein, Scientific
American, August 2000
Computer models indicate that many diseases will surge as the earthÕs
atmosphere heats up. Signs of the predicted troubles have begun
to appear.
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Environment:
Arctic plants can stand the heat, by Philip Ball, Nature
Science Update, 31 August 2000
Ecosystems can adapt to reduce the impact of a warmer, drier climate,
new research in Nature suggests.
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A
Global Warming Report Predicts Doom for Many Species, by
Sarah Lyall, New York Times, 1 September 2000
Global warming could wipe out many species of plants and animals
by the end of the 21st century, the World Wide Fund for Nature said
in a report issued here today.
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The
Natural World - Climate, New York Times
A GREAT portal for climate related stories from the NY Times
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Money
Down the Pipeline: Uncovering the Hidden Subsidies to the Oil Industry,
by Roland Hwang. UCS, 1995
How tax breaks, government funding, and other subsidies benefit
the oil industry at the expense of other energy technologies.
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A Small Price to Pay; US Action to Curb Global Warming is Feasible
and Affordable, Union of Concerned Scientists and Tellus
Institute, July 1998
(Click here for the
pdf document)
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Linking Solutions to Climate Change and Biodiversity Loss Through
the Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism, by Peter C.
Frumhoff, Darren C. Goetze, and Jared J. Hardner, Union of Concerned
Scientists, October 1998
(Click here for the
pdf document)
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The Millennium
Seed Bank Project
One of the largest international conservation projects ever undertaken,
this international collaboration aims to safeguard over 24,000 plant
species world-wide against extinction and to secure the future of
the UK's native flowering plants.
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| The Pew Center
on Global Climate Change, Working together because climate
change is serious business |
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Human Health & Global Climate Change, A Review of Potential
Impacts in the United States, John M. Balbus and Mark L. Wilson,
The Pew Center on Global Climate Change
(Click here for the
pdf document)
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An Overview of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory Issues,
by Christopher P. Loreti, William F. Wescott, and Michael A. Isenberg,
The Pew Center on Global Climate Change, August 2000
(Click here for the
pdf document)
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Sustainable Energy
and Economy Network -
The Sustainable Energy and Economy Network, a project of the Institute
for Policy Studies (Washington, DC) and the Transnational Institute
(Amsterdam), works in partnership with citizens groups globally
on environment and development issues with a particular focus on
climate change, human rights, energy, gender equity, and economic
issues.
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Cool Companies.org
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The Center's mission is to reduce energy costs and greenhouse gas
(GHG) emissions by providing companies and other organizations with
tools and strategies that can improve the environment, while increasing
profits and productivity. Our core goal is to put these tools and
strategies in the hands of the maximum number of organizations and
to help measure the benefits in both economic and environmental
terms.
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The
Eastern U.S. Keeps Its Cool - NASA Science News,
18 January 2001
While surface temperatures across most of the globe are on the
rise, the eastern U.S. appears to be slowly cooling. Scientists
say the trend could be a result of increasing cloud cover triggered
by warming Pacific waters.
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Technologies
to Reduce Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the Next Decade, by
Arthur H. Rosenfeld, Tina M. Kaarsberg, and Joseph Romm, Physics
Today, November 2001
The prospects for meeting the Kyoto Protocol for greenhouse-gas
reductions will be brighter if the US can develop technologies to
lower its energy use.
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Nations
Argue over Climate Treaty , by Paul Guinnessy, Physics
Today, November 2001
Disagreements at this month's climate meeting in the Hague could
cause the Kyoto Protocol to fail
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| Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) |
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IPCC Special Report: Land Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry
(Click here for the
pdf document)
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| BP
- Cleaner Fuels |
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BP
Solar - A New Approach
BP Solar develops and implements solar power solutions. We are
the worldÕs largest manufacturer of solar electric panels and systems.
Our extensive network of distributors provides solar power for industrial,
commercial and residential customers throughout the world.
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